High Programmer > Alan De Smet > Games > Role-Playing Games > My Life With Master > My Life With Master probabilities

My Life With Master probabilities

This is some initial work in calculating the probabilities behind Paul Czege's My Life with Master. It's incomplete; in particular it lacks any information on the bonus dice of Intimacy, Desperation, and Sincerity. However, I otherwise believe the numbers to be correct.

graph of the data presented below

Chance of success (approximate)

Resistance Dice
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Act
Dice
1 37.50% 15.62% 5.86% 2.05% 0.68% 0.22% 0.07% 0.02% 0.01% 0.00%
2 68.75 41.41 21.68 10.25 4.49 1.85 0.73 0.28 0.10 0.04
3 86.33 65.14 42.92 25.31 13.64 6.83 3.22 1.45 0.62 0.26
4 94.53 81.54 62.99 43.83 27.82 16.32 8.95 4.63 2.28 1.08
5 97.95 91.06 78.23 61.55 44.45 29.69 18.50 10.84 6.01 3.18
6 99.27 95.97 88.19 75.78 60.50 44.92 31.16 20.31 12.51 7.33
7 99.75 98.28 94.01 85.80 73.87 59.70 45.29 32.35 21.84 14.01
8 99.92 99.30 97.13 92.18 83.79 72.33 59.05 45.59 33.34 23.16
9 99.97 99.73 98.69 95.92 90.50 82.07 71.05 58.52 45.83 34.18
10 99.99 99.90 99.42 97.97 94.71 88.98 80.59 69.97 58.07 46.04

Chance of success (exact)

Resistance Dice
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Act
Dice
1 3/85/3215/25621/1,0247/1,0249/4,09645/65,53655/262,14433/524,28839/2,097,152
2 11/1653/128111/512105/1,02423/5121,215/65,536239/32,7682,893/1,048,5761,059/1,048,576377/1,048,576
3 221/256667/1,024879/2,0482,073/8,1924,469/32,76817,911/262,14433,793/1,048,57630,311/2,097,15226,049/4,194,30443,157/16,777,216
4 121/128835/1,024645/1,02414,361/32,7689,115/32,76885,553/524,28893,847/1,048,576194,363/4,194,30447,877/2,097,15290,355/8,388,608
5 1,003/1,0241,865/2,04825,635/32,76840,337/65,53658,267/131,072622,667/2,097,152193,947/1,048,5761,817,927/16,777,216504,453/8,388,60866,725/2,097,152
6 2,033/2,04862,893/65,536115,591/131,072794,585/1,048,576634,409/1,048,5763,768,395/8,388,6085,227,593/16,777,21627,256,519/134,217,7284,198,305/33,554,432157,386,485/2,147,483,648
7 65,371/65,536128,817/131,072985,733/1,048,5761,799,359/2,097,152774,549/1,048,57620,030,609/33,554,43230,393,417/67,108,864173,670,201/536,870,912469,073,121/2,147,483,6489,399,727/67,108,864
8 65,481/65,536260,307/262,1441,018,433/1,048,576483,275/524,2881,757,193/2,097,15212,134,155/16,777,2169,907,073/16,777,216978,976,569/2,147,483,648715,932,165/2,147,483,648994,915,455/4,294,967,296
9 524,145/524,2882,091,393/2,097,1524,139,171/4,194,30416,092,145/16,777,2167,592,073/8,388,60855,078,099/67,108,8641,525,738,831/2,147,483,6482,513,385,987/4,294,967,2963,937,157,637/8,589,934,59211,743,510,125/34,359,738,368
10 1,048,485/1,048,576261,871/262,1448,340,217/8,388,60832,872,055/33,554,4327,945,163/8,388,6081,910,932,643/2,147,483,6481,730,602,801/2,147,483,64812,020,208,583/17,179,869,1849,976,641,099/17,179,869,18463,283,117,677/137,438,953,472

Chance of tie (approximate)

Resistance Dice
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Act
Dice
1 25.00% 15.62% 7.81% 3.42% 1.37% 0.51% 0.18% 0.06% 0.02% 0.01%
2 15.62 17.19 13.18 8.20 4.44 2.18 0.99 0.42 0.17 0.07
3 7.81 13.18 14.16 11.71 8.13 4.98 2.77 1.43 0.69 0.32
4 3.42 8.20 11.71 12.35 10.63 7.90 5.25 3.19 1.80 0.96
5 1.37 4.44 8.13 10.63 11.09 9.81 7.64 5.37 3.48 2.10
6 0.51 2.18 4.98 7.90 9.81 10.15 9.15 7.37 5.42 3.69
7 0.18 0.99 2.77 5.25 7.64 9.15 9.42 8.60 7.11 5.41
8 0.06 0.42 1.43 3.19 5.37 7.37 8.60 8.83 8.14 6.87
9 0.02 0.17 0.69 1.80 3.48 5.42 7.11 8.14 8.33 7.75
10 0.01 0.07 0.32 0.96 2.10 3.69 5.41 6.87 7.75 7.91

Chance of tie (exact)

Resistance Dice
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Act
Dice
1 1/45/325/6435/1,0247/51221/4,09615/8,192165/262,14455/262,144143/2,097,152
2 5/3211/64135/1,02421/25691/2,048357/16,3841,299/131,0724,455/1,048,5763,641/2,097,152715/1,048,576
3 5/64135/1,024145/1,024959/8,192333/4,09613,051/262,14414,525/524,28829,975/2,097,1527,271/1,048,57653,625/16,777,216
4 35/1,02421/256959/8,1922,023/16,3846,969/65,53682,885/1,048,576110,099/2,097,152133,741/4,194,304302,055/16,777,216320,957/33,554,432
5 7/51291/2,048333/4,0966,969/65,5367,269/65,536205,667/2,097,1525,005/65,536901,745/16,777,216146,041/4,194,304176,545/8,388,608
6 21/4,096357/16,38413,051/262,14482,885/1,048,576205,667/2,097,152425,909/4,194,3043,068,637/33,554,4329,887,969/134,217,7283,634,155/67,108,8649,895,565/268,435,456
7 15/8,1921,299/131,07214,525/524,288110,099/2,097,1525,005/65,5363,068,637/33,554,4323,161,015/33,554,43246,174,375/536,870,9129,541,981/134,217,728116,089,583/2,147,483,648
8 165/262,1444,455/1,048,57629,975/2,097,152133,741/4,194,304901,745/16,777,2169,887,969/134,217,72846,174,375/536,870,91294,765,255/1,073,741,824349,716,979/4,294,967,2961,179,998,781/17,179,869,184
9 55/262,1443,641/2,097,1527,271/1,048,576302,055/16,777,216146,041/4,194,3043,634,155/67,108,8649,541,981/134,217,728349,716,979/4,294,967,296357,809,659/4,294,967,2962,662,946,045/34,359,738,368
10 143/2,097,152715/1,048,57653,625/16,777,216320,957/33,554,432176,545/8,388,6089,895,565/268,435,456116,089,583/2,147,483,6481,179,998,781/17,179,869,1842,662,946,045/34,359,738,3685,436,359,059/68,719,476,736
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